Taux de réussite
69.0%
38293 prédictions au total
Réussite (7 jours)
68.6%
2011 prédictions
Avantage moy. (fort)
+27.2%
sur les signaux forts
Gains simulés
+1110.98€
en misanant 10€ sur chaque signal fort
Prédictions totales
38293
depuis le démarrage
—
—
BTC : — depuis l'ouverture
Proba UP selon le modèle
—
Proba UP selon Polymarket
—
Avantage sur le marché
—
⚡
Le marché converge
Fenêtre en cours (5 min)
Volume misé sur Polymarket : —
Signaux :
Mise :
Slippage :
Capital :
€
Paris —
Win rate —
Final —
Profit —
Max drawdown —
🥇
Sécurisé 2%
2% fixe par signal — capital prioritaire
+69.65€
Budget : 269.65€ (départ 200€)
38293 paris · 68.5% réussite
🥈
Ultra-sélectif
5% si edge > 12% — très filtré
-199.0€
Budget : 1.0€ (départ 200€)
1491 paris · 42.1% réussite
🥉
Kelly ¼
Formule Kelly ÷ 4 — croissance sans ruine
-199.02€
Budget : 0.98€ (départ 200€)
2121 paris · 45.2% réussite
4
Edge proportionnel
Mise = avantage × budget, max 15%
-199.04€
Budget : 0.96€ (départ 200€)
532 paris · 46.4% réussite
5
Kelly plein
Kelly complet — optimal théorique mais volatil
-199.06€
Budget : 0.94€ (départ 200€)
196 paris · 44.9% réussite
6
Kelly ½
Formule Kelly ÷ 2 — meilleur compromis
-199.07€
Budget : 0.93€ (départ 200€)
1004 paris · 45.5% réussite
| Heure |
Variation BTC |
Prédiction |
Confiance |
Cote marché (UP) |
Avantage |
Signal |
Résultat |
Gain simulé |
| 23:51 |
—
|
DOWN
|
36.1% |
41.5% |
+8.5%
|
MODÉRÉ
|
En cours…
|
—
|
| 23:46 |
—
|
DOWN
|
33.4% |
11.5% |
+38.5%
|
FORT
|
En cours…
|
—
|
| 23:41 |
—
|
DOWN
|
68.8% |
4.5% |
+45.5%
|
FORT
|
En cours…
|
—
|
| 23:36 |
-0.18%
|
UP
|
16.0% |
50.5% |
+0.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ DOWN
|
-10€
|
| 23:30 |
-0.12%
|
UP
|
24.6% |
53.5% |
+3.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ DOWN
|
-10€
|
| 23:26 |
-0.03%
|
DOWN
|
57.3% |
44.5% |
+5.5%
|
MODÉRÉ
|
❌ UP
|
-10€
|
| 23:21 |
+0.0%
|
DOWN
|
70.6% |
33.5% |
+16.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ DOWN
|
+5.04€
|
| 23:16 |
+0.02%
|
DOWN
|
51.4% |
25.5% |
+24.5%
|
FORT
|
❌ UP
|
-10€
|
| 23:11 |
-0.04%
|
DOWN
|
48.6% |
16.5% |
+33.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ DOWN
|
+1.98€
|
| 23:06 |
+-0.0%
|
UP
|
51.5% |
70.5% |
+20.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+4.18€
|
| 23:01 |
-0.02%
|
DOWN
|
24.4% |
8.5% |
+41.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ DOWN
|
+0.93€
|
| 22:56 |
-0.02%
|
UP
|
5.1% |
53.5% |
+3.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
✅ UP
|
+8.69€
|
| 22:51 |
-0.06%
|
UP
|
22.2% |
81.5% |
+31.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+2.27€
|
| 22:46 |
+-0.0%
|
DOWN
|
17.6% |
28.5% |
+21.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ DOWN
|
+3.99€
|
| 22:41 |
+0.02%
|
UP
|
40.8% |
81.5% |
+31.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+2.27€
|
| 22:35 |
+0.05%
|
DOWN
|
9.1% |
46.5% |
+3.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ UP
|
-10€
|
| 22:31 |
+0.08%
|
UP
|
14.8% |
55.5% |
+5.5%
|
MODÉRÉ
|
❌ DOWN
|
-10€
|
| 22:26 |
+0.03%
|
UP
|
24.7% |
63.5% |
+13.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+5.75€
|
| 22:21 |
+0.05%
|
DOWN
|
12.5% |
27.5% |
+22.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ DOWN
|
+3.79€
|
| 22:16 |
+0.1%
|
UP
|
47.1% |
55.5% |
+5.5%
|
MODÉRÉ
|
✅ UP
|
+8.02€
|
| 22:11 |
+0.03%
|
UP
|
11.3% |
53.5% |
+3.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ DOWN
|
-10€
|
| 22:06 |
+0.04%
|
UP
|
71.2% |
73.5% |
+23.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+3.61€
|
| 22:00 |
+0.02%
|
DOWN
|
19.2% |
46.5% |
+3.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ UP
|
-10€
|
| 21:56 |
+0.07%
|
DOWN
|
43.5% |
46.5% |
+3.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ UP
|
-10€
|
| 21:51 |
+0.03%
|
UP
|
70.3% |
65.5% |
+15.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+5.27€
|
| 21:46 |
+0.01%
|
UP
|
53.4% |
51.5% |
+1.5%
|
FAIBLE
|
❌ DOWN
|
-10€
|
| 21:40 |
+0.13%
|
DOWN
|
61.5% |
40.5% |
+9.5%
|
MODÉRÉ
|
❌ UP
|
-10€
|
| 21:36 |
-0.02%
|
DOWN
|
31.5% |
16.5% |
+33.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ DOWN
|
+1.98€
|
| 21:31 |
-0.09%
|
UP
|
4.5% |
94.5% |
+44.5%
|
FORT
|
✅ UP
|
+0.58€
|
| 21:26 |
-0.07%
|
UP
|
79.8% |
58.5% |
+8.5%
|
MODÉRÉ
|
✅ UP
|
+7.09€
|
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